2026/27 NFL MVP Projections: Supercomputer Predicts Josh Allen Win

• Josh Allen has been given a 19.3% chance of winning NFL MVP
• Lamar Jackson is second-most likely with a probability of 15.6%
• Joe Burrow is the only other player with more than a 10% chance
• Derrick Henry is the only non-quarterback in the top 20 candidates

A 2026/27 NFL MVP supercomputer has projected that Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen will win the top player prize for a second time in three seasons.

The supercomputer, which was conducted by CSB, who review the best Canadian betting sites, utilizes a combination of mathematical probability algorithms and agentic AI to project the result of the competition.

The prediction model gives the 30-year-old a 19.3% chance of being the MVP this season, which is at least 3.7% higher than any other player in the NFL.

Allen was last named NFL MVP in the 2024 season, when his Buffalo Bills team finished as number two seeds in the AFC before losing the AFC Championship game to the Kansas City Chiefs, who were Super Bowl runners-up.

The second-most likely MVP according to the model is Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson, given a 15.6% chance of scooping the prize.

Elsewhere, the only other player with a chance higher than 10% is Cincinnati Bengals’ Joe Burrow, who is pitched at an 11.4% shot.

All but one of the top 20 candidates for MVP, meanwhile, are quarterbacks, with Ravens running back Derrick Henry the only outlier. But with just a 1.8% chance of winning the title, it looks overwhelmingly likely to be won by a quarterback.