Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen is getting better organized over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

As of 4 pm Saturday, the storm had maximum sustained winds of 30 mph, located about 175 miles south of Cozumel, Mexico and about 290 miles south-southwest of the western tip of Cuba, moving northwest at 6 mph.

The storm is forecast to become the next named storm, Michael, on Sunday night with landfall expected along the northeastern Gulf coast sometime on Wednesday.

Locally we could see some heavy rain, but it’s not definite yet.

Rain chances are expected to increase on Monday in South Florida, peak on Tuesday, remain high on Wednesday, then fall off by the end of the week.

Currently, the model forecasts show 2-3 inches of rain over that period of time. But WPTV Meteorologist James Wieland says any little change could make a big difference in the forecast.

—————–

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
400 PM CDT Sat Oct 06 2018

…DISTURBANCE GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA…
…WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…18.0N 86.6W
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM S OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 290 MI…470 KM SSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the provinces of Pinar…