The headline from Montana’s House special election doesn’t read well for Democrats: Republican Greg Gianforte beat Democrat Rob Quist by 6 percentage points, even after he body slammed a reporter on the eve of the election. But in the latest episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew debates whether the result in Montana actually bodes poorly for the party and what a big special election win would mean for Democrats.

The team also plays another round “smoke vs. fire” with the controversy over potential collusion between President Trump’s campaign…