There is no better example of political dynamics than the election of the political outsider with an unrestrained set of tongue and hands, Donald Trump.
What’s next? is the great question bothering and/or tantalizing Americans and all who depend on them to greater or lesser measure.
Uncertainty is a close cousin of dynamism.
Israel is prominent among the dependents on the US, But how much this small country is dependent on that big country is one of the questions that brings us back to political dynamics.
Israel’s Prime Minister, Benyamin Netanyahu, says several times a day that the US is Israel’s greatest friend and defender, But nobody can be sure what Bibi means whenever he speaks.
Israel’s Prime Minister is either another good example of political dynamism, or a counter example of static politics with dynamic sounding speech, depending on the perspective of the commentator.
However one views Trump and Netanyahu, the coming period is at least one of waiting and testing, perhaps some dynamic movement, or perhaps some standing in place with dynamic pretensions.
The dynamics of politics is nothing if it is not complex, difficult to predict and to interpret when it may be happening. There is likely to be speech by the doers, some action, and lots of commentary, with neither all the doers nor commentators operating from the same script.
The vast bulk of government is bureaucracy, whose personnel change only with age, operating according to decades or centuries of accumulated law and precedent, likely to change piecemeal if at all.
Trump’s nominees, or prospective nominees for high office provide some indication of his policy intentions, but also some quarrels among those speaking about what they see.
On the one hand, it is possible to see traditional Republicanism in
- the nominee of a man to deal with the environment who is on record as opposing the idea of global warming as a result of human intervention
- the nomination of a Wall Street executives as Secretary of the Treasury and Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers
- the nomination of a woman leery of spending public money on education as Secretary of Education
- the nomination of Exxon’s CEO as Secretary of State
All this may be the effort of the big businessman, who is also a political novice, to firm up his party credentials and hold off any murmurings of a possible rebellion, impeachment and replacement of him with a Vice President who is a party insider.
Or it may be the clearest sign we’ve had of who is the real Trump, concerned to return the US to its free enterprise roots and to reward his family and friends with what he sees as an ideal business climate.
Some Republicans aren’t happy. They sense that Trump is wandering from…